Abstract: The paper establishes a calculation model of investment risk in optimal cultivation management for the high yield and high efficiency of winter wheat, and works out analog computer program based on the mathematical models. The software (programmed with Visual Basic6.0) was designed on the basis of windows interface, and with menu system and command buttons. Using the model we can predict yield, profit and investment risk in cultivation management of winter wheat. Proportion imbalance of fertilizer price to grain price is a main reason of causing investment risk, using the model the proper prices of fertilizer and grain could be simulated by computer, and the prices were used to provide feasible proposal for macroscopic adjustment of market price.